Help & Documentation

A complete reference guide for system configuration, AI models, inputs, and output metrics.

System Inputs

Standard Formatting

For all manual ticker and weight fields:

  • Tickers: Space separated (e.g., SPY QQQ).
  • Weights: Space separated (e.g., 60 40). Must sum to 100% if not using AI.
  • Order: First ticker = first weight, etc.
Assets & Timeline

Backtest Start Date

The starting point for the engine. Safely truncates to the earliest shared date if assets lack earlier data.

Portfolio Tickers

Standard ticker symbols. Apply leverage by appending "L=" (e.g., SPY L=2 for 2x leverage).

Rolling Optimization (AI)

AI Model

Includes Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) and Mean-Variance to maximize the Sharpe ratio.

AI Memory (Lookback)

"Expanding" uses all history. Rolling windows force the model to adapt to recent market regimes.

Min/Max Weight Bounds

Prevent over-allocation to a single asset. Enter space-separated percentages matching your tickers.

Capital & Cash Flows

Starting Value vs. Current Value

Starting Value = backtest baseline. Current Value seeds the Forecast Engine and Live tab.

Cash Flows

Simulate recurring deposits (positive) or withdrawals (negative) to model accumulation or decumulation phases.

Rebalancing Strategy

Rebalance Frequency

How often the portfolio returns to target weights. Value Averaging (SIG) is an advanced dynamic strategy.

SIG System (Value Averaging)

Set a Quarterly Growth Target. Outperformance skims into a Safety Sleeve; underperformance deploys from it.

Outputs & Metrics

Performance Metrics
CAGR

Compound Annual Growth Rate.

Volatility

Annualized standard deviation of returns.

Max Drawdown

Deepest peak-to-trough decline.

Sharpe Ratio

Return per unit of total risk.

Sortino Ratio

Like Sharpe, penalizes only downside volatility.

Calmar Ratio

CAGR divided by Max Drawdown.

Alpha

Excess return vs. benchmark.

Beta

Volatility relative to the benchmark.

Forecast & Simulation

Block Bootstrapping

Samples sequential blocks of historical returns — preserving market memory for far more realistic projections.

Probability of Loss

Likelihood the portfolio ends the forecast horizon below its starting value.

Value at Risk (VaR 5%)

The worst-5% threshold. '95% confident my portfolio won't fall below this.'

Expected Shortfall (CVaR)

Average of all outcomes in the worst 5% tail. 'If things go badly, how much do I actually lose?'

Frequently Asked Questions